Saturday, November 1

Suddenly Too Close to Call?

In a stunning new report, pollster John Zogby has Republican John McCain starting to pull ahead in the race for president for the first time in more than a month. "Is McCain making a move?" he asks. "The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all."

In addition, he says, "Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."

With other pollsters, including Gallup, Rasmussen, and TIPP, predicting an Obama cakewalk, it is apparent that volatility is not limited to stocks and mortgages.

2 comments:

SEChapman said...

I found it odd that the polls were all calling for a big margin for Obama, but there was still 10 to 11 % undecided and a margin of error of 4 %. We are in for a long night.I think the Zogby poll is the the firming up of the "undecided", which at this stage and with the get out the early vote from the Obama camp seem to be swinging in McCain's favor. Long night ahead on Tuesday and maybe a repeat of 2000.

Karen said...

I hear pollsters declare there has never been a presidential candidate in modern history that has overcome this kind of deficit. Assuming that is correct, any student of God's providential hand in history can't help but kind of like those odds. Should God be for Senator McCain, who can stand against him.

My older kids are getting a bit discouraged and worried about an Obama presidency. I encourage them that the Lord is always in control and remind them of that which you shared with us, Dr. Grant, in Modernity...Psalm 97:1-12..."THE LORD REIGNS, let the earth rejoice!"